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Total return on investment in UK commercial property fell to 1.2% in July from 1.3% in June, according to the latest CBRE Monthly Index. July’s fall was mainly a result of weaker performance from central London, but despite this monthly fall, over the last 12 months rental value growth in central London offices has now reached a post-recessionary high of 9.65%. Overall rental and capital values continued to grow in July, but did so at a reduced rate, with rental values growing at 0.3%, slower than the 0.5% for June, and capital values growing at 0.7%, down from 0.9% the previous month. The office sector was one of the biggest movers in July. While the market recorded another month of good performance, after a strong second quarter, July’s returns fell from 1.8% in June to 1.3%. The report says that this was largely down to the central London market, where total return fell to 1.1% from 1.7% the month before. Total returns were also down in outer London/M25 and the rest of UK, but not to the same extent as in central London. Overall, however, the central London office market is booming. Annual rental growth for the 12 months to July 2015 is now at a post-recessionary high of 9.65%, overtaking the previous peak in the year to October 2011 of 7.13%. Central London offices now have the highest rental growth of all UK commercial property markets over the last 12 months, driven by 12.48% growth in the City, and 10.52% growth in Midtown. ‘Despite the slight dip in July, office rents and capital values in central London market have been growing strongly over the last year. As a result of this performance, investment into the market has grown from £2.4 million in in the first quarter of 2015 to £4 million in the second quarter,’ said Michael Haddock, senior director of CBRE. ‘The high level of competition for central London assets means that investors, both local and foreign, are increasingly looking at opportunities in the rest of the UK and activity has been growing at an even faster rate outside London,’ he added. High street shops and industrials also recorded positive rental growth, but with some marked geographical divergence across the UK. In both sectors, the South East outperformed the rest of the UK. Rental value growth for high street shops increased from 0.2% to 0.5% in the South East, while rental values for the rest of the UK were flat for the month. Similarly, the industrial sector recorded 0.7% rental value growth in South East up from 0.5% the month before, while the growth rate fell in the rest of the country from 0.4% to 0.2%. Continue reading →
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