Number of London homes worth over a million set to rise by 47% by 2018

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The number of London house sales breaking the £1 million price barrier is expected to rise by 47% by 2018, according to new analysis from international property adviser, Savills. It means a further expansion of a market that has grown by 165% in the past five years. In 2003, just 1,825 £1 million plus sales were recorded by the Land Registry, a figure that rose to 7,529 last year. By 2018, the annual total is expected to exceed 11,000, in response to forecast price rises and means that more locations in the Greater London area will qualify as prime property area. According to calculations from Savills, annual turnover in London’s £1 million plus market has risen by 312% over the past decade and is forecast to record a 505% increase in the 15 years from 2003 to 2018. During the same period, prime London house prices are expected to have risen by 160%, evidence both of the rising prosperity in the capital and the geographical expansion of the prime market. A decade ago just over half of sales worth £1 million or more were concentrated in just two central boroughs, Kensington and Chelsea and Westminster, with 569 and 370 sales respectively. Last year, while these two central boroughs still accounted for a third of this high value market place, four other boroughs of Wandsworth, Hammersmith and Fulham, Camden and Richmond upon Thames, each saw more than 500 £1 million plus sales recorded by the Land Registry. Only two of London’s 33 boroughs, Barking and Dagenham and Newham, did not see any £1 million plus sales recorded by the Land Registry in 2013. Three other boroughs, Croydon, Waltham Forest and Bexley, recorded fewer than 10 such sales at nine, three and two respectively. But even in the highest value areas of these five boroughs average values were between £275,000 and £390,000. ‘In the past five years, we have seen £1 million sales increasingly extend into areas such as Acton, Dalston, Herne Hill, Tooting Bec and Blackheath. In the next five years such sales are expected to become significantly more concentrated in emerging locations such as Streatham, Kingston, Borough and Northwood,’ said Lucian Cook, head of UK residential research at Savills. ‘The majority of locations where we expect to see the emergence of £1 million-plus sales in the next five years neighbour existing prime areas. Areas such as Earlsfield, Brixton and Wanstead should see a greater proliferation of the £1 million price tag, which is also expected to begin to appear in such locations as Crystal Palace to the south, Southgate to the north and Isleworth and Osterley to the west,’ he added. The Savills research also identifies the emergence of a third ‘wealth corridor’, running south east via Dulwich and Bromley, as wealth flows out from more central locations, boosting house prices along its route. ‘Much of the growth in £1 million-plus sales will be organic, driven… Continue reading →

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